Because it sure feels that way to me:
“This should come as a warning shot to Democrats,” the NRCC said in a post-election press release. “The elitist behavior of the Democratic front-runner and the liberal and extremist positions that he and his fellow Democrats in Congress have staked their claim to, do not appear to be as salient as they once hoped.”
Talk about lowering the bar. Suddenly Democrats should be on the defensive for winning Republican-held R+6.5 open seats in the South?
Hang in there, Tom Cole and friends. I know this must’ve been a rough night for you.
they had cut into Cazayoux’s lead and certainty…but still, yeah, sad.
Someone forgot to remind them this is THEIR turf. This isn’t a swing district.
they cut Cazayoux’s percentage from 50% to 49%
Not to mention that Jenkins percentage falls within the MOE for a lot of polls.
It’s not like Cazayoux went from a 15 point lead to winning by 2 or something.
Anyways, have Republicans won an open seat or defeated an incumbent with attacks on their health care stance? I’m sure it has worked once, but usually it’s guns or social issues or scandal.
Obviously, this is a way for them to stop throwing good money after bad. They wrote one press release, and were going to use it no matter what happened.
Heck, they can just re-use it after MS-01 if they want as well.
Speaking of which…on to MS-01!
in a R+7 district, it should have been close no matter what they focused the ads on. A 3-point victory for a Democrat in that kind of district is huge.
Looks like Democrats might have trouble holding this seat in November. From the Washington Post:
I just wonder what math Jackson is looking at?
Direct from the Louisiana SOS website:
Cazayoux (D): 49,702 (49.20%)
Jenkins (R): 46,701 (46.27%)
Casey (I): 3,718 (3.68%)
Aranyosi: 448 (0.44%)
Hayes: 402 (0.40%)
Total Votes cast: 100,671
Margin: Cazayoux + 3,001 (+2.93%)
And this was a CD with a PVI rating of R +6.5.
Bush won this CD in 2000 with 55%.
He won it again in 2004 with 59%
Hordes of money got socked into this race and the GOP tried as hard as it could to pin Cazayoux to Barack Obama as a test to see what would happen nationally. They smeared the name Wright to Obama in every imaginable way.
And we see the result. The democrat won.
But it sure rings awfully hollow when a Democrat just won a district that supported Bush by a 59-40 margin in 2004, and one that hasn’t elected a Democrat to the House since the early ’70s.
Yeah, it’s a warning shot — for the GOP.
the NRCC has now blown over $3 million that they don’t have defending three bright red districts and have already lost two. If you throw in the two specials from last fall, that’s a lot of money spent on five districts that they should only have to put a name on the ballot to win.
National committees should be first spending money trying to take vulnerable districts from the other party and second trying to prop up their own vulnerable districts. The last thing they want to do is spend a significant portion of their cash on hand defending districts that should be perfectly safe.
There’s is absolutely no way the Republicans can put any credible positive spin on this result.
Oooooh, me bones rattles with fear! Putzez!
Hillary Clinton! HA!
No offense to Clinton supporters, they’d probably agree that her media team spins better than Obama.
Does this mean we are back to 2025 needed to win the Democratic nomination for presdient? Might as well wait until 5/13 to see if MS-01 gets turned over as well, then just do the update!
More than anything I want to see if we win MS-01:
110th Congress as of 5/14/08:
Democrats – 236
Republicans – 199
One can only imagine what that number is projected to be for the 111th Congress after the November election!?!?!? I am hoping for at least a DEM+10 to make it 246-189; I like seeing it move by chunks of 10!